White Sox put home streak on line in finale with Mariners

Baseball Betting Lines

07/29/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - The Chicago White Sox try for their first 11-game home winning streak in 21 years this evening, when they attempt to complete a four- game sweep of the Seattle Mariners at U.S. Cellular Field.

Chicago won for the 17th time in its last 18 games at home on Wednesday, as Alex Rios singled home the go-ahead run in the bottom of the seventh inning to lift the White Sox to a 6-5 victory.

Gordon Beckham clubbed a two-run homer while Alexei Ramirez and Paul Konerko both hit solo shots for the White Sox, who haven't won 11 straight at home since a 13-game run July 1-Aug. 5, 1989 at Comiskey Park.

Chicago, which erased an early 5-1 deficit, maintained its one-game lead over Minnesota in the AL Central standings after the Twins defeated Kansas City earlier Wednesday.

"Offensively we did a lot of great things today," White Sox manager Ozzie Guillen said afterward. "It's a team to win this game today. There were a lot of things clicking for us."

With another win tonight, the White Sox would have their first four-game home sweep of the Mariners since turning the trick from Sept. 15-18, 1983.

Chone Figgins blasted a two-run homer for the Mariners, who have dropped seven of their last 10 games. Seattle has also lost eight of nine to the White Sox this season.

Getting the call for the White Sox tonight will be righty Freddy Garcia, who is coming off the shortest outing of his career. Garcia absorbed his first loss in seven decisions on Saturday in Oakland, as the A's pounded him for five runs and six hits in just 1 1/3 innings to drop him to 9-4 to go along with a 4.74 ERA.

Garcia, who spent his first five-plus major league seasons in Seattle, is 3-3 with a 5.57 ERA in eight starts against the Mariners.

Seattle will counter with righty David Pauley, who is 0-2 with a 2.18 ERA. Pauley lost his first two starts, but did not get a decision Saturday against Boston despite an impressive showing that saw him surrender one run and five hits in 5 2/3 innings of his team's 5-1 loss.

Chicago has won seven straight at home against the Mariners and is 11-1 in its last 12 against them on the South Side of Chicago.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

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